Last updated October 10, 2023

Standings

Rank Team Wins Remaining Games Win % Win % Rank Projected Wins (FPI) Projected Rank (FPI)
1 Mike Thorne 12 37 85.7% 1 33.6 1
2 Gavin Gray 10 36 66.7% 2 27.6 3
3 Andrew Moeller 8 36 53.3% 4 26.8 5
3 Nick Boucher 8 37 57.1% 3 27.6 3
5 Andrew Batchelor 7 36 46.7% 5 27.7 2
5 Matt Hogel 7 36 46.7% 5 25.2 6
7 Dan Ellenberger 6 36 40.0% 8 23.4 8
7 Luke Phelan 6 36 40.0% 8 22.5 9
7 Karl Loiseau 6 38 46.2% 7 23.9 7
10 Steve Creaser 5 36 33.3% 10 20.3 10

Expanded Standings

Team Wins Projected
Wins
Next
Opponent
Win Probability
in Next Game
Mike Thorne
San Francisco 49ers 5 13.6 CLE 0.69
Detroit Lions 4 11.0 TB 0.61
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 9.0 DET 0.39
Gavin Gray
Philadelphia Eagles 5 11.8 NYJ 0.73
Atlanta Falcons 3 9.1 WAS 0.59
Las Vegas Raiders 2 6.7 NE 0.61
Andrew Moeller
Buffalo Bills 3 11.8 NYG 0.88
Pittsburgh Steelers 3 8.8 NA
Washington Commanders 2 6.2 ATL 0.41
Nick Boucher
Baltimore Ravens 3 10.2 TEN 0.66
Indianapolis Colts 3 8.6 JAX 0.34
Cleveland Browns 2 8.8 SF 0.31
Andrew Batchelor
Kansas City Chiefs 4 12.3 DEN 0.82
Los Angeles Rams 2 8.2 ARI 0.72
Minnesota Vikings 1 7.2 CHI 0.59
Matt Hogel
Jacksonville Jaguars 3 9.7 IND 0.66
New Orleans Saints 3 9.5 HOU 0.55
Chicago Bears 1 6.0 MIN 0.41
Dan Ellenberger
Miami Dolphins 4 12.3 CAR 0.87
Cincinnati Bengals 2 7.2 SEA 0.61
Carolina Panthers 0 3.9 MIA 0.13
Karl Loiseau
Seattle Seahawks 3 9.7 CIN 0.39
Los Angeles Chargers 2 9.5 DAL 0.43
Denver Broncos 1 4.7 KC 0.18
Luke Phelan
Dallas Cowboys 3 10.2 LAC 0.57
Green Bay Packers 2 7.6 NA
New York Giants 1 4.7 BUF 0.12
Steve Creaser
New York Jets 2 7.4 PHI 0.27
Tennessee Titans 2 7.5 BAL 0.34
New England Patriots 1 5.4 LV 0.39

Weekly Head-to-Heads

Leverage measured by:
* Circles to the top right are games between people closest to first place
* Bigger circles indicate games that are more likely to be closely contested

Draft Analysis

Team Wins Draft
Spot
Expected
Wins
Performance vs.
Expectation
Better
Choices
Mike Thorne
San Francisco 49ers 5 3 4 1 0
Detroit Lions 4 13 3 1 0
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 3 30 1 2 0
Gavin Gray
Philadelphia Eagles 5 1 5 0 0
Atlanta Falcons 3 20 2 1 0
Las Vegas Raiders 2 27 1 1 2
Andrew Moeller
Buffalo Bills 3 4 4 -1 2
Pittsburgh Steelers 3 18 2 1 0
Washington Commanders 2 25 2 0 2
Nick Boucher
Baltimore Ravens 3 7 3 0 2
Cleveland Browns 2 11 3 -1 7
Indianapolis Colts 3 28 1 2 0
Andrew Batchelor
Kansas City Chiefs 4 2 5 -1 1
Minnesota Vikings 1 16 2 -1 9
Los Angeles Rams 2 29 1 1 1
Matt Hogel
Jacksonville Jaguars 3 9 3 0 2
New Orleans Saints 3 14 3 0 1
Chicago Bears 1 23 2 -1 6
Dan Ellenberger
Cincinnati Bengals 2 5 4 -2 10
Miami Dolphins 4 15 3 1 0
Carolina Panthers 0 26 1 -1 6
Luke Phelan
Dallas Cowboys 3 6 3 0 2
New York Giants 1 19 2 -1 7
Green Bay Packers 2 22 2 0 2
Karl Loiseau
Los Angeles Chargers 2 8 3 -1 8
Seattle Seahawks 3 17 2 1 0
Denver Broncos 1 21 2 -1 7
Steve Creaser
New York Jets 2 10 3 -1 8
Tennessee Titans 2 12 3 -1 8
New England Patriots 1 24 2 -1 6

Draft Results